The Impact of Economic Growth, Renewable Energy, Non-renewable Energy and Trade Openness on the Ecological Footprint and Forecasting in Turkiye: an Case of the ARDL and NMGM Forecasting Model
Yazarlar (3)
Doç. Dr. Özlem KARADAĞ ALBAYRAK Kafkas Üniversitesi, Türkiye
Dr. Öğr. Üyesi Samet TOPAL Kafkas Üniversitesi, Türkiye
Doç. Dr. Serhat ÇAMKAYA Kafkas Üniversitesi, Türkiye
| Makale Türü |
Özgün Makale
(Ulusal alan endekslerinde (TR Dizin, ULAKBİM) yayınlanan tam makale)
|
||
| Dergi Adı | Alphanumeric Journal | ||
| Dergi ISSN | 2148-2225 | ||
| Dergi Tarandığı Indeksler | TR DİZİN | ||
| Makale Dili | Türkçe | Basım Tarihi | 12-2022 |
| Kabul Tarihi | 18-10-2022 | Yayınlanma Tarihi | 31-12-2022 |
| Cilt / Sayı / Sayfa | 10 / 2 / 139–153 | DOI | 10.17093/alphanumeric.1144398 |
| Makale Linki | https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/download/article-file/2540741 | ||
| UAK Araştırma Alanları |
Enerji Ekonomisi
|
||
| Özet |
| In this study, the effects of economic growth, renewable and non-renewable energy 7 production and trade openness on ecological footprint for Turkey were investigated. By using 8 the annual data for the period 1980-2016, the short-and long-term relationship with the 9 Autoregressive Distributed Lag Model (ARDL) was examined. In addition, a prediction model 10 is presented with the Multivariate Gray Prediction Model (NMGM) method. According to the 11 findings obtained from the ARDL model, economic growth, renewable and non-renewable 12 energy production have a positive effect of 0.166, 0.1431 and 0.1118, respectively, on the 13 ecological footprint in the long run. In the short run, economic growth, renewable energy 14 production and non-renewable energy production has the same effect of 0.1941, 0.1673 and 15 0.1308 on the ecological footprint. In addition, no effect of trade openness on the ecological 16 footprint has been detected, both in the long and short run. The originality of this study is to 17 investigate the short-and long-term effects of economic growth and trade openness on the 18 ecological footprint, in addition to the amount of renewable energy production and non-19 renewable energy production in Turkey, using the ARDL model. In addition, another 20 originality of this study is a dynamic evaluation of the ecological footprint for Turkey and the 21 determination of the impact values of the variables that affect the ecological footprint. ARIMA 22 models, in which the dependent variable is estimated with its own past values, are generally 23 used as estimation models. Likewise, univariate gray estimation models also … |
| Anahtar Kelimeler |
| Ecological Footprint | ARDL | Gray Estimaiton | Renewable and Non-Renewable Energy Production |
BM Sürdürülebilir Kalkınma Amaçları
| Atıf Sayıları | |
| Google Scholar | 2 |
| Google Scholar | 11 |