| Yazarlar |
Giulia Belluccini
|
|
Qianying Lin
|
|
Bevelynn Williams
University of Leeds |
|
Yijun Lou
Hong Kong Polytechnic University |
|
Zati Vatansever
Kafkas University, Türkiye |
|
Martín López-García
University of Leeds |
|
Grant Lythe
University of Leeds |
|
Thomas Leitner
|
|
Ethan Romero-Severson
|
|
Carmen Molina-París
|
| Özet |
| With a single circulating vector-borne virus, the basic reproduction number incorporates contributions from tick-to-tick (co-feeding), tick-to-host and host-to-tick transmission routes. With two different circulating vector-borne viral strains, resident and invasive, and under the assumption that co-feeding is the only transmission route in a tick population, the invasion reproduction number depends on whether the model system of ordinary differential equations possesses the property of neutrality. We show that a simple model, with two populations of ticks infected with one strain, resident or invasive, and one population of co-infected ticks, does not have Alizon's neutrality property. We present model alternatives that are capable of representing the invasion potential of a novel strain by including populations of ticks dually infected with the same strain. The invasion reproduction number is analysed with the next-generation method and via numerical simulations. |
| Anahtar Kelimeler |
| 37N25 | 62P10 | 87.10.Ed | 87.23.-n | basic reproduction number PACS: 02.30.Hq | co-feeding | co-infection | co-transmission | invasion reproduction number | mathematical model | neutrality |
| Makale Türü | Özgün Makale |
| Makale Alt Türü | Uluslararası alan indekslerindeki dergilerde yayımlanan tam makale |
| Dergi Adı | ArXiv |
| Dergi ISSN | 2331-8422 |
| Makale Dili | İngilizce |
| Basım Tarihi | 03-2024 |
