Testing the ecological hysteresis hypothesis in the world's top polluting countries: A regime-switching time series analysis (1961–2022)
Yazarlar (4)
Dr. Öğr. Üyesi Gökhan Erkal Türkiye
Prof. Dr. Ömer Yalçınkaya Türkiye
Prof. Dr. Ali Kemal Çelik Ardahan Üniversitesi, Türkiye
Doç. Dr. Serhat ÇAMKAYA Kafkas Üniversitesi, Türkiye
| Makale Türü | Özgün Makale (SSCI, AHCI, SCI, SCI-Exp dergilerinde yayınlanan tam makale) | ||
| Dergi Adı | Ecological Economics (Q1) | ||
| Dergi ISSN | 1873-6106 Dergi Bilgileri (2026) | ||
| Dergi Tarandığı Indeksler | SSCI | ||
| Makale Dili | İngilizce | Basım Tarihi | 05-2026 |
| Cilt / Sayı / Sayfa | 243 / 0 / 108926– | DOI | 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2026.108926 |
| Makale Linki | https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S092180092600011X?dgcid=author | ||
| UAK Araştırma Alanları |
Yöneylem Araştırması
Çok Kıstaslı Karar Verme
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| Özet |
| This study examines the validity and temporal evolution of the Ecological Hysteresis Hypothesis (EHH) for the world's ten most polluted countries from 1961 to 2022. Inspired by labor-market and carbon hysteresis, EHH posits that environmental indicators may not revert to historical means after shocks, implying path dependence. Using per-capita ecological footprint as the core indicator, we find strong evidence of hysteresis in eight of ten countries, with regime-dependent differences and both positive and negative forms over time. Robustness checks using the EF/BC ratio alongside PEF confirm non-stationarity in eight countries, showing that ecological pressure persistently exceeds biocapacity and that hysteresis operates not only in per-capita demand but also relative to ecosystem carrying capacity. These patterns indicate the persistence of environmental degradation, suggesting that short-lived, one-off … |
| Anahtar Kelimeler |
BM Sürdürülebilir Kalkınma Amaçları
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| Google Scholar | 1 |